| When alertedlocal time | Coin | Caller | Call mcappump.fun | Entry mcapclick to edit | ATH mcappeak reached | Maxfrom entry | Nowfrom entry | Thesis |
|---|
The model. Buy at the entry market cap, sell the instant it doubles (+100%); if it never doubles, cut it at −80%. Expected return per call is therefore EV = 1.8 × (2× hit rate) − 0.8, so break-even is a 44.4% hit rate. The +10% gate on this page and on the Telegram alerts uses that same EV.
Market caps. pump.fun records calledOutAtMcap at the instant the caller
posts. ATH market cap is that call cap times the peak multiple the coin reached — market
cap tracks price on a fixed supply, so the two scale together. Verified across 3,001 stored
callouts: marketCap / (calloutPriceUsd × 1e9) has median 0.999, and
maxMultiplier equals maxPriceSol / calloutPrice in 2,993 of them.
Why the hit rate here differs from the leaderboard. This page shows the raw share of calls that ever reached 2×. The leaderboard's rate is 2× within 24 hours, recency-weighted on a 14-day half-life and shrunk toward the mean for small samples — a deliberately harsher number, and the one the +10% gate is applied to. A caller showing 68% here and 55% there is not a contradiction.
Timestamps are the Telegram send time — the moment the alert actually reached you, not when the caller posted. Callouts that were never alerted on show their call time instead, marked never alerted. Send times are only recorded from 2026-09-03 onward: the notifier previously stored only which coin/caller pairs had fired, never when, and the Telegram API cannot list a bot's own past messages — so earlier alert times are unrecoverable. Use Alerted only to see just the alert log.
Records where pump.fun stored a corrupt peak price are marked bad data and excluded from every statistic. One measured case reported a 81,711× call on a coin whose market cap is $2,984.